Update on Ongoing Ballot Count
November 9, 2018
As Arizona county recorders continue to count ballots cast during Arizona’s early voting period and on Election Day, Sinema for Arizona Campaign Manager Andrew Piatt released the following update about ballots counted as of today in the Arizona Senate race:
“Once again, today’s data confirmed our expectation that as the ballots are counted, Kyrsten will steadily build her advantage and be elected to the U.S. Senate. Nine counties reported today – five of which are counties where McSally is favored and where she needed to perform very well in order to regain even a narrow path to victory. That didn’t happen and since election night, Kyrsten netted 38,258 votes and now is leading by 20,203 votes – or one percent. She will win this race.”
Background on the ballots reported today:
Apache County: There were 2,467 ballots reported today. They broke for Kyrsten 60 percent to 36 percent.
Cochise County: McSally’s vote share at the beginning of the day was 60 percent to 38 percent. There were 4,021 ballots reported today, which broke for McSally 54.1 percent to 42.9 percent. This is a county where McSally needed to perform very well but did not.
Coconino County: There were 934 ballots reported today. They broke for Kyrsten 71 percent to 26 percent.
Maricopa County: There were 77,957 ballots reported today. They broke for Kyrsten 56 percent to 41 percent. McSally has not won a single batch of votes from Maricopa County, including those cast on Election Day. Even when Republican voters outperformed Democrats by 12.5 points from October 10 through October 30, Kyrsten won by .25 percent.
Mohave County: McSally was winning 26.8 percent to 70.4 percent at the beginning of the day. There were 2,841 ballots were reported today, which broke 28.7 percent to 67.7 percent in McSally’s favor. This is a county where McSally needed to perform very well but did not.
Pinal County: McSally’s vote share at the beginning of the day was 56 percent to 42 percent. There were 7,339 votes reported today and they broke for McSally 50 percent to 47 percent. This is a county where McSally needed to perform very well but did not.
Santa Cruz: There were 2,296 ballots from Santa Cruz reported today and they broke for Kyrsten 71 percent to 25 percent, increasing her vote share in the county.
Yavapai County: There were 5,726 ballots reported and McSally won them 59.8 percent to 36.8 percent. This is a county where McSally needed to perform very well but did not.
Yuma County: McSally’s vote share at the beginning of the day was 53 percent to 44 percent. There were 3,329 ballots reported today and they broke for Kyrsten 60 percent to 37 percent. This is a county where McSally needed to perform very well but did not.